Round Rock
Investment Analysis

Round Rock, TX
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
43
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.1%
Gross Yield
5.2%
P/R Ratio
17.6x
YoY Growth
-5.3%
Median Home Price
$375,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,635/mo
Median Income
$102,420
Population
131,735

Investment Breakdown

47
Value Score
0
Growth Score
81
Safety Score
52
Afford Score

Round Rock has a price-to-rent ratio of 17.6x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 3.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -5.3% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,635
Annual Gross $19,620

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$469
Insurance (~0.5%) -$156
Maintenance (~1%) -$313
Est. Net Cash Flow $698/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Round Rock Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
➡️ Stable
PROJECTEDNOW$403K2027$408K 1.4%2028$398K 1.2%20232024Now
$478K$378K
Current
$375K
2026
Projected
$408K
1.4% by 2027
Projected
$398K
1.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+4.0%
Confidence:Low
R²:0.16

Looking ahead to the 2026-2028 period, the Round Rock housing market forecast points toward a period of stabilization rather than dramatic swings. The current median home price of $402,573 has already absorbed some post-pandemic cooling, as evidenced by the -5.2% YoY price change. This correction, combined with a market temperature of 49/100 and a neutral buy/rent verdict, suggests a more balanced environment is forming. While the price-to-rent ratio at 18.9x sits slightly above the national average, indicating that buying remains a significant financial commitment, the area's strong 5-year CAGR of 4.0% signals underlying resilience. For those asking will Round Rock home prices drop further, the data suggests any declines will likely be modest, as the market finds a floor.

Growth in the Round Rock real estate market through 2027 will be heavily influenced by local economic drivers. The city's status as a tech hub, anchored by major employers like Dell Technologies, continues to attract skilled workers, supporting housing demand despite broader affordability concerns. However, the extended days on market at 88 days indicate sellers must price competitively, giving buyers more leverage than in previous years. The 5-year price range of $333,801 – $525,779 shows a wide spread, meaning neighborhood selection will be critical for long-term appreciation. Affordability remains a key factor; while local job growth is a positive, rising costs and interest rates could cap price acceleration.

Ultimately, the outlook for Round Rock real estate Round Rock 2027 is one of measured stability. The B+ risk grade reflects a solid market with manageable volatility, making it attractive for long-term residents rather than speculative flippers. We expect prices to trend sideways to slightly positive, supported by steady in-migration and a diversified economy. While rapid appreciation is unlikely in the near term, the area's fundamental strengths—strong schools, proximity to Austin, and a robust employment base—provide a solid foundation. Buyers should focus on value and long-term hold strategies, while sellers need to remain patient and realistic with pricing in this evolving market.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.0%
5yr CAGR
+4%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 96.1%
Months Supply 5.6
Price Drops 30%
Gone in 2 Wks 14%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Round Rock.

Total ROI
-96%
on $75,000 invested
Annual ROI
-46.4%
compounded
Total Return
-$71,671
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,340
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y178kY281kY385kY489kY593k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$71,671
Final Equity
$92,580

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Round Rock

Property

Purchase Price$375,000
Monthly Rent$1,635
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,155
Monthly Cash Flow
-$13,865/ year
-18.5%
Cash-on-Cash
2.4%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,635
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,896
− Property Tax$375
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$313
− Vacancy Loss$82
= Net Cash Flow-$1,155

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$75,000
Loan Amount
$300,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,790
Gross Yield
5.2%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026