Warren
Investment Analysis

Warren, MI
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
65
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
3.3%
Gross Yield
5.6%
P/R Ratio
12.5x
YoY Growth
+2.9%
Median Home Price
$220,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,019/mo
Median Income
$60,572
Population
136,660

Investment Breakdown

63
Value Score
79
Growth Score
66
Safety Score
52
Afford Score

Warren has a price-to-rent ratio of 12.5x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 3.3% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.9% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,019
Annual Gross $12,228

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$275
Insurance (~0.5%) -$92
Maintenance (~1%) -$183
Est. Net Cash Flow $469/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Warren Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$192K2027$205Kโ–ฒ 6.9%2028$215Kโ–ฒ 11.8%20232024Now
$225K$159K
Current
$220K
2026
Projected
$205K
โ†‘ 6.9% by 2027
Projected
$215K
โ†‘ 11.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.5%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.94
โ–ผ

Looking at the Warren housing market forecast through 2028, the fundamentals point toward steady, sustainable growth rather than explosive gains. With a median home price of $191,926 and a price-to-rent ratio of just 13.8x, the area remains significantly more affordable than the national average, a key draw for first-time buyers and investors alike. The modest 2.1% year-over-year price change signals a cooling from the 6.7% five-year CAGR, suggesting the market is normalizing. While inventory remains tight with homes selling in just 29 days, the risk grade of A and a "Buy" verdict indicate resilience. For potential buyers wondering if Warren home prices will drop, the data suggests a floor is likely, supported by strong rental demand and an improving affordability picture relative to broader Metro Detroit.

Local economic factors will be pivotal in shaping the Warren real estate landscape through 2027. Proximity to major automotive employers in Detroit and Auburn Hills continues to provide a stable employment base, while ongoing investments in local infrastructure and retail corridors could bolster neighborhood values. The 5-year price range of $137,835 โ€“ $191,926 highlights the area's accessibility, but a market temperature of 66/100 indicates a balanced yet competitive environment. While broader economic headwinds like inflation or interest rate shifts could temper buyer enthusiasm, Warren's inherent affordability provides a buffer against severe downturns. The outlook is cautiously optimistic, with appreciation likely tracking closer to historical norms rather than the pandemic-era surge, making it a stable, long-term play rather than a speculative flip.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
3.7%
5yr CAGR
+6.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

75
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 95.8%
Months Supply 3.3
Price Drops 24%
Gone in 2 Wks 37%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Warren.

Total ROI
-10%
on $44,000 invested
Annual ROI
-2.1%
compounded
Total Return
-$4,514
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$729
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y152kY261kY369kY479kY588k
Appreciation
$33,805
Cash Flow
-$38,319
Final Equity
$88,119

* Estimates based on 2.9% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Warren

Property

Purchase Price$220,000
Monthly Rent$1,019
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$673
Monthly Cash Flow
-$8,073/ year
-18.3%
Cash-on-Cash
2.4%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,019
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,112
โˆ’ Property Tax$220
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$183
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$51
= Net Cash Flow-$673

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$44,000
Loan Amount
$176,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,692
Gross Yield
5.6%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026