San Ramon
Investment Analysis

San Ramon, CA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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24
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.2%
Gross Yield
2.0%
P/R Ratio
43.1x
YoY Growth
-7.1%
Median Home Price
$1,410,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$2,304/mo
Median Income
$195,491
Population
84,942

Investment Breakdown

0
Value Score
0
Growth Score
87
Safety Score
32
Afford Score

San Ramon has a price-to-rent ratio of 43.1x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.2% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of -7.1% suggests a cooling market.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $2,304
Annual Gross $27,648

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$1,763
Insurance (~0.5%) -$588
Maintenance (~1%) -$1,175
Est. Net Cash Flow -$1,221/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ San Ramon Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$1M2027$2Mโ–ฒ 11.5%2028$2Mโ–ฒ 14.7%20232024Now
$2M$1M
Current
$1M
2026
Projected
$2M
โ†‘ 11.5% by 2027
Projected
$2M
โ†‘ 14.7% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.6%
Confidence:Low
Rยฒ:0.31
โ–ผ

For anyone evaluating the San Ramon housing market forecast through 2028, the current data paints a picture of a market recalibrating after a period of rapid appreciation. The median home price sits at a substantial $1,479,155, yet the recent -7.1% year-over-year price change signals a notable cooling. This correction is likely a necessary response to the affordability ceiling, as the price-to-rent ratio of 47.6xโ€”far exceeding the national averageโ€”makes ownership a significant stretch for many. With homes lingering on the market for 43 days, buyers are regaining a measure of leverage, a shift from the frenetic pace seen in prior years. This deceleration suggests the market is moving toward a more sustainable equilibrium rather than a sharp collapse.

Looking ahead, the question of whether San Ramon home prices will drop further hinges on local economic fundamentals and broader interest rate trends. San Ramon's appeal remains anchored by its strong schools and proximity to major Bay Area employment hubs, but high borrowing costs will continue to challenge affordability. The market's 62/100 temperature indicates a balanced, if cool, environment, and the B- risk grade points to moderate volatility. While the five-year price change of 33.7% shows underlying strength, the current "RENT" verdict suggests that for potential buyers in the near term, patience may be a prudent strategy. The San Ramon real estate San Ramon 2027 outlook is likely one of modest price stabilization rather than significant growth, contingent on the health of the local tech-driven economy and any shifts in inventory, providing a nuanced view for those considering a long-term position in the area.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.0%
5yr CAGR
+5.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 5.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.5%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market
Declining Prices

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.9%
Months Supply 2.4
Price Drops 20%
Gone in 2 Wks 48%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for San Ramon.

Total ROI
-181%
on $282,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$509,092
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$8,690
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1294kY2306kY3319kY4333kY5348k
Appreciation
$0
Cash Flow
-$509,092
Final Equity
$348,103

* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for San Ramon

Property

Purchase Price$1,410,000
Monthly Rent$2,304
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$7,651
Monthly Cash Flow
-$91,811/ year
-32.6%
Cash-on-Cash
-0.4%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$2,304
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$7,130
โˆ’ Property Tax$1,410
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$1,175
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$115
= Net Cash Flow-$7,651

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$282,000
Loan Amount
$1,128,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$9,955
Gross Yield
2.0%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026