Springfield
Investment Analysis

Springfield, MA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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51
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.7%
Gross Yield
4.4%
P/R Ratio
17.4x
YoY Growth
+2.1%
Median Home Price
$301,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,115/mo
Median Income
$47,101
Population
153,672

Investment Breakdown

48
Value Score
71
Growth Score
32
Safety Score
52
Afford Score

Springfield has a price-to-rent ratio of 17.4x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.7% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.1% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,115
Annual Gross $13,380

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$376
Insurance (~0.5%) -$125
Maintenance (~1%) -$251
Est. Net Cash Flow $363/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Springfield Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$289K2027$311Kโ–ฒ 7.8%2028$327Kโ–ฒ 13.4%20232024Now
$344K$234K
Current
$301K
2026
Projected
$311K
โ†‘ 7.8% by 2027
Projected
$327K
โ†‘ 13.4% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.3%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.96
โ–ผ

The Springfield housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. After a robust 5-year price increase of 45.0% and a compound annual growth rate of 7.6%, the market is showing signs of normalization. The current median home price sits at $288,598, with a relatively brisk pace of sales indicated by 29 days on market. This momentum, combined with a market temperature score of 66/100 and a strong Risk Grade of A, points toward a resilient, albeit less frenetic, environment. Potential buyers asking "will Springfield home prices drop" may find that significant declines are unlikely given the underlying demand and the area's affordability compared to larger metros, though the rapid appreciation seen in the past five years will likely moderate.

Key local factors will continue to shape the Springfield real estate landscape through 2027. The presence of major healthcare and education employers provides a stable economic foundation, supporting housing demand even amidst broader economic uncertainties. However, the price-to-rent ratio of 19.3x, slightly above the national average of 18x, suggests that renting remains a competitive option, potentially tempering investor-driven buying. Affordability will be a central theme; while the median rent of $1,115/mo is accessible, the rising home prices may stretch budgets for first-time buyers. This dynamic could keep the market balanced, appealing to long-term residents and those seeking value compared to coastal cities.

Overall, the outlook for Springfield real estate Springfield 2027 is one of steady, sustainable growth. The "Buy/Rent Verdict" is currently marked as NEUTRAL, reflecting a market where neither buyers nor sellers hold a decisive advantage. Expect price growth to align more closely with historical norms rather than the recent highs, likely in the low-to-mid single digits annually. For those considering a purchase, the strong risk grade and economic stability offer confidence, but the window for rapid equity gains appears to be closing. The forecast points to a mature market where patience and careful financial planning will be rewarded over speculative moves.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.7%
5yr CAGR
+7.3%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.5%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.0%

Healthcare

89
Score
Excellent

Risk Factors

High Crime Area

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 101.2%
Months Supply 2.4
Price Drops 31%
Gone in 2 Wks 30%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Higher Risk

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Springfield.

Total ROI
-62%
on $60,200 invested
Annual ROI
-17.7%
compounded
Total Return
-$37,524
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,263
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y169kY278kY387kY497kY5107k
Appreciation
$32,307
Cash Flow
-$69,831
Final Equity
$106,618

* Estimates based on 2.1% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Springfield

Property

Purchase Price$301,000
Monthly Rent$1,115
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,140
Monthly Cash Flow
-$13,675/ year
-22.7%
Cash-on-Cash
1.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,115
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,522
โˆ’ Property Tax$301
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$251
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$56
= Net Cash Flow-$1,140

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$60,200
Loan Amount
$240,800
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,255
Gross Yield
4.4%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026