Charleston
Investment Analysis

Charleston, SC
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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38
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.6%
Gross Yield
2.7%
P/R Ratio
29.8x
YoY Growth
+0.2%
Median Home Price
$640,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$1,424/mo
Median Income
$95,126
Population
155,988

Investment Breakdown

11
Value Score
52
Growth Score
54
Safety Score
49
Afford Score

Charleston has a price-to-rent ratio of 29.8x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 1.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +0.2% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $1,424
Annual Gross $17,088

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$800
Insurance (~0.5%) -$267
Maintenance (~1%) -$533
Est. Net Cash Flow -$176/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Charleston Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$576K2027$653Kโ–ฒ 13.5%2028$694Kโ–ฒ 20.5%20232024Now
$728K$481K
Current
$640K
2026
Projected
$653K
โ†‘ 13.5% by 2027
Projected
$694K
โ†‘ 20.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+9.0%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.89
โ–ผ

Looking at the data for the Charleston housing market forecast through 2028, the momentum from the prior 5-year run appears to be normalizing. The 5-year price change of 56.4% is substantial, pushing the median home price to $575,699. However, the immediate YoY price change of just 0.1% signals a clear cooling period. With days on market at 70, buyers are regaining leverage, but the market isn't crashing. For anyone asking if Charleston home prices will drop, the data suggests stagnation rather than a steep decline, as local demand from corporate relocations and lifestyle migration continues to provide a floor under values.

The affordability metrics are particularly concerning for investors and first-time buyers alike. The price-to-rent ratio stands at 31.8x, significantly higher than the national average of 18x. With median rent at just $1,424/mo, the math strongly favors renting over buying for the foreseeable future, supporting the "RENT" verdict. The market temperature of 54/100 reflects this balanced, slightly softening state. While the local economy remains robust with port activity and aerospace growth, rising insurance premiums and property taxes are squeezing affordability. This suggests that for Charleston real estate Charleston 2027 will likely be a period of price consolidation rather than rapid appreciation.

From a risk perspective, the A- grade offers some reassurance that this isn't a speculative bubble poised to pop. The 5-year CAGR of 9.2% is historically strong, and even with slowing growth, the underlying desirability of the Lowcountry remains intact. The price range over the last five years, expanding from $367,980 to current levels, shows the floor has lifted significantly. While the era of double-digit annual gains is likely over for this cycle, Charleston's limited supply and enduring appeal should prevent major corrections. Investors should pivot from expecting appreciation to focusing on cash flow, as the current valuation metrics do not support aggressive leverage.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.6%
5yr CAGR
+9%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +2.8%

Healthcare

68
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.1%
Months Supply 4.8
Price Drops 21%
Gone in 2 Wks 30%

Market Position

Affordability Average
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Charleston.

Total ROI
-156%
on $128,000 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$200,106
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$3,585
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y1135kY2142kY3149kY4157kY5165k
Appreciation
$7,394
Cash Flow
-$207,499
Final Equity
$165,398

* Estimates based on 0.2% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Charleston

Property

Purchase Price$640,000
Monthly Rent$1,424
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$3,182
Monthly Cash Flow
-$38,181/ year
-29.8%
Cash-on-Cash
0.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$1,424
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$3,236
โˆ’ Property Tax$640
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$533
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$71
= Net Cash Flow-$3,182

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$128,000
Loan Amount
$512,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$4,606
Gross Yield
2.7%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026