Waukesha
Investment Analysis

Waukesha, WI
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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54
Investment Score
Rent
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.0%
Gross Yield
3.3%
P/R Ratio
28.2x
YoY Growth
+4.8%
Median Home Price
$352,500
Average Rent (1BR)
$979/mo
Median Income
$81,480
Population
70,452

Investment Breakdown

15
Value Score
98
Growth Score
68
Safety Score
55
Afford Score

Waukesha has a price-to-rent ratio of 28.2x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.

The estimated cap rate of 2.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +4.8% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $979
Annual Gross $11,748

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$441
Insurance (~0.5%) -$147
Maintenance (~1%) -$294
Est. Net Cash Flow $98/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Waukesha Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$397K2027$420Kโ–ฒ 5.8%2028$441Kโ–ฒ 11.2%20232024Now
$463K$318K
Current
$353K
2026
Projected
$420K
โ†‘ 5.8% by 2027
Projected
$441K
โ†‘ 11.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+6.6%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.99
โ–ผ

The Waukesha housing market forecast for 2026-2028 points toward a period of normalization rather than the rapid appreciation seen in previous years. With a current median home price of $396,719 and a 5-year price change of 39.0%, the market has already experienced significant growth, pushing affordability to a critical point. The price-to-rent ratio sits at a steep 30.8x, which is well above the national average of 18x. This metric strongly suggests that renting remains the more financially prudent option for now, aligning with the "RENT" verdict. While the market temperature of 60/100 indicates lingering seller leverage, it also signals a cooling trend from the frenetic pace of 2021-2023. We expect price growth to moderate, likely aligning closer to the historical 5-year CAGR of 6.7%, as higher interest rates continue to pressure buyer purchasing power in the greater Milwaukee metro area.

Will Waukesha home prices drop? A significant crash is unlikely given the area's strong A risk grade and steady local economy, but a plateau or slight correction in specific sub-markets is plausible if inventory rises. Demand is supported by Waukeshaโ€™s proximity to Milwaukee and its own evolving downtown amenities, yet affordability constraints will cap upside potential. For those eyeing Waukesha real estate Waukesha 2027 scenarios, the key factors to watch are local job growth in the healthcare and manufacturing sectors and any new residential development that could ease supply constraints. Days on market currently average 35, suggesting homes still move relatively quickly, but this metric is expected to lengthen. Ultimately, the forecast suggests a balanced market where price growth stabilizes, offering a more sustainable environment for long-term homeowners while presenting fewer opportunities for short-term speculative gains.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
1.7%
5yr CAGR
+6.6%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.9%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.2%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Overvalued Market

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.9%
Months Supply 2.7
Price Drops 16%
Gone in 2 Wks 50%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Waukesha.

Total ROI
-12%
on $70,500 invested
Annual ROI
-2.6%
compounded
Total Return
-$8,604
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,790
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y190kY2111kY3133kY4156kY5181k
Appreciation
$93,546
Cash Flow
-$102,150
Final Equity
$180,572

* Estimates based on 4.8% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Waukesha

Property

Purchase Price$352,500
Monthly Rent$979
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,624
Monthly Cash Flow
-$19,484/ year
-27.6%
Cash-on-Cash
0.5%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$979
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,782
โˆ’ Property Tax$353
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$294
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$49
= Net Cash Flow-$1,624

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$70,500
Loan Amount
$282,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,603
Gross Yield
3.3%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026