Yankton
Investment Analysis

Yankton, SD
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
53
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.8%
Gross Yield
2.9%
P/R Ratio
24.7x
YoY Growth
+3.1%
Median Home Price
$299,900
Average Rent (1BR)
$734/mo
Median Income
$69,071
Population
15,501

Investment Breakdown

26
Value Score
81
Growth Score
60
Safety Score
61
Afford Score

Yankton has a price-to-rent ratio of 24.7x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 1.8% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.1% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $734
Annual Gross $8,808

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$375
Insurance (~0.5%) -$125
Maintenance (~1%) -$250
Est. Net Cash Flow -$16/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Yankton Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$265K2027$277K 4.7%2028$287K 8.2%20232024Now
$301K$231K
Current
$300K
2026
Projected
$277K
4.7% by 2027
Projected
$287K
8.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.1%
Confidence:Moderate
R²:0.79

For those evaluating a Yankton housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of modest normalization rather than dramatic shifts. Current median home prices sit at $265,047, with annual appreciation holding steady at 3.2% and a five-year compound annual growth rate of 5.1%. This points to a stable, if slowing, trajectory. Days on market average 35, indicating a balanced environment where sellers must price realistically but buyers still have time to decide. The market temperature score of 60/100 reflects this equilibrium—neither red-hot nor frozen—supported by Yankton’s reliance on regional healthcare, education, and manufacturing sectors that provide steady employment but limited explosive growth.

Will Yankton home prices drop? The current price-to-rent ratio of 27.0x—well above the national average of 18x—suggests buying is expensive relative to renting, which could pressure demand from cost-conscious residents. With a "RENT" verdict and an "A" risk grade, the financial math favors leasing for now. However, Yankton lacks the speculative froth of larger markets; its steady 5-year price change of 28.7% and limited inventory within the $205,895 – $265,048 range provide a floor for values. Local factors like ongoing riverfront development and proximity to outdoor recreation may sustain buyer interest, but affordability challenges could temper growth.

Looking ahead to Yankton real estate Yankton 2027, expect annual appreciation to hover between 2-4%, assuming national rate stability and continued local job growth. The market’s affordability constraints and high price-to-rent ratio suggest prices won’t surge, but the "A" risk grade and balanced inventory make significant declines unlikely. Yankton’s appeal as a regional hub with strong community ties will likely prevent sharp corrections, even if softer demand emerges. Ultimately, the forecast calls for steady but slower growth, with renting remaining a prudent choice for many until the price-to-rent gap narrows.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+5.1%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.2%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.6%

Healthcare

74
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Inventory

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 104.4%
Months Supply 3.3
Price Drops 10%
Gone in 2 Wks 24%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Yankton.

Total ROI
-73%
on $59,980 invested
Annual ROI
-22.9%
compounded
Total Return
-$43,616
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,617
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y172kY284kY397kY4110kY5123k
Appreciation
$49,457
Cash Flow
-$93,073
Final Equity
$123,497

* Estimates based on 3.1% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Yankton

Property

Purchase Price$299,900
Monthly Rent$734
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,494
Monthly Cash Flow
-$17,928/ year
-29.9%
Cash-on-Cash
0.1%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$734
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,516
− Property Tax$300
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$250
− Vacancy Loss$37
= Net Cash Flow-$1,494

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$59,980
Loan Amount
$239,920
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,228
Gross Yield
2.9%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026