Ames
Investment Analysis

Ames, IA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
58
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.5%
Gross Yield
4.2%
P/R Ratio
21.5x
YoY Growth
+3.0%
Median Home Price
$259,900
Average Rent (1BR)
$918/mo
Median Income
$58,693
Population
65,676

Investment Breakdown

36
Value Score
80
Growth Score
70
Safety Score
59
Afford Score

Ames has a price-to-rent ratio of 21.5x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.5% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.0% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $918
Annual Gross $11,016

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$325
Insurance (~0.5%) -$108
Maintenance (~1%) -$217
Est. Net Cash Flow $268/mo

Price Forecast 2026–2028

🔮 Ames Price Forecast 20262028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis · Statistical projection
📈 Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$265K2027$275K 3.9%2028$282K 6.6%20232024Now
$296K$238K
Current
$260K
2026
Projected
$275K
3.9% by 2027
Projected
$282K
6.6% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+3.9%
Confidence:Moderate
R²:0.74

When evaluating the Ames housing market forecast for 2026-2028, the data suggests a period of consolidation rather than rapid appreciation. The current median home price of $264,792 has grown at a steady but modest pace, with a 5-year CAGR of 3.9% and a recent YoY change of just 2.3%. With a price-to-rent ratio of 22.6x—significantly above the national average of 18x—the financial scales currently tip in favor of renting, as reflected in the "RENT" verdict. While the market isn't overheating, it isn't cooling rapidly either; Days on Market sits at a brisk 36 days, indicating sustained buyer interest despite affordability constraints.

For those asking will Ames home prices drop in the near term, the Risk Grade of A suggests stability, but affordability remains a headwind. The local economy, heavily anchored by Iowa State University, provides a buffer against volatility, yet high interest rates could cap pricing power. The market temperature of 64/100 reflects a balanced environment. As we look toward Ames real estate Ames 2027, expect appreciation to track closer to historical norms—likely in the 2-4% range annually—rather than the explosive growth seen in earlier years. The 5-year price range of $217,564 – $264,793 shows a gradual climb, and barring a major economic shock, prices are more likely to plateau or see slight real-term declines than a sharp correction.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.5%
5yr CAGR
+3.9%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.9%

Healthcare

76
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin · 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.5%
Months Supply 2.6
Price Drops 31%
Gone in 2 Wks 39%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Ames.

Total ROI
-42%
on $51,980 invested
Annual ROI
-10.4%
compounded
Total Return
-$21,983
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,133
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y162kY272kY383kY494kY5105k
Appreciation
$41,103
Cash Flow
-$63,086
Final Equity
$105,267

* Estimates based on 3.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Ames

Property

Purchase Price$259,900
Monthly Rent$918
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,044
Monthly Cash Flow
-$12,523/ year
-24.1%
Cash-on-Cash
1.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$918
− Mortgage (P&I)$1,314
− Property Tax$260
− Insurance$125
− Maintenance$217
− Vacancy Loss$46
= Net Cash Flow-$1,044

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$51,980
Loan Amount
$207,920
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,962
Gross Yield
4.2%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026