Grand Island
Investment Analysis

Grand Island, NE
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
62
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.1%
Gross Yield
3.5%
P/R Ratio
20.0x
YoY Growth
+3.8%
Median Home Price
$282,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$829/mo
Median Income
$62,439
Population
52,761

Investment Breakdown

40
Value Score
88
Growth Score
69
Safety Score
63
Afford Score

Grand Island has a price-to-rent ratio of 20.0x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 2.1% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +3.8% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $829
Annual Gross $9,948

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$353
Insurance (~0.5%) -$118
Maintenance (~1%) -$235
Est. Net Cash Flow $124/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Grand Island Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$254K2027$271Kโ–ฒ 6.6%2028$282Kโ–ฒ 11.0%20232024Now
$296K$217K
Current
$282K
2026
Projected
$271K
โ†‘ 6.6% by 2027
Projected
$282K
โ†‘ 11.0% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.7%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.95
โ–ผ

The Grand Island housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of moderation rather than the rapid appreciation seen in the prior five years. While the 5-year price change of 40.3% is impressive, the current YoY price change has slowed to 2.5%, signaling a market that is stabilizing. The price-to-rent ratio stands at 22.1x, significantly higher than the national average of 18x, which supports the "RENT" verdict for those not committed to long-term residency. With a Days on Market average of 35, inventory is moving, but buyers are becoming more discerning in the face of higher borrowing costs and affordability constraints.

Answering the question of whether Grand Island home prices will drop requires looking at local fundamentals. The local economy, anchored by agriculture, manufacturing, and the healthcare sector at CHI Health St. Francis, provides a stable employment base that should prevent a sharp correction. However, affordability is becoming a pressure point; with the median rent at $829/mo compared to the median home price of $246,813, the gap is widening. While the risk grade remains an A for stability, the market temperature of 60/100 indicates a cooling trend. For those looking at Grand Island real estate Grand Island 2027, the outlook is for single-digit growth, likely aligning with the historical 5-year CAGR of 6.9% rather than the double-digit swings of the past.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.3%
5yr CAGR
+5.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.4%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +1.4%

Healthcare

78
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-05-31
Sale-to-List 98.3%
Months Supply 2.1
Price Drops 24%
Gone in 2 Wks 28%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Grand Island.

Total ROI
-37%
on $56,400 invested
Annual ROI
-8.8%
compounded
Total Return
-$20,891
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,388
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y169kY283kY397kY4112kY5128k
Appreciation
$57,973
Cash Flow
-$78,865
Final Equity
$127,594

* Estimates based on 3.8% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Grand Island

Property

Purchase Price$282,000
Monthly Rent$829
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,280
Monthly Cash Flow
-$15,365/ year
-27.2%
Cash-on-Cash
0.6%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$829
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,426
โˆ’ Property Tax$282
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$235
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$41
= Net Cash Flow-$1,280

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$56,400
Loan Amount
$225,600
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,109
Gross Yield
3.5%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: June 2026