Investment Breakdown
Long Beach has a price-to-rent ratio of 27.2x, which indicates renting is more favorable than buying.
The estimated cap rate of 1.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.
Year-over-year price growth of -1.3% suggests a cooling market.
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Price Forecast 2026โ2028
๐ฎ Long Beach Price Forecast 2026โ2028
For anyone asking will Long Beach home prices drop, the current data suggests a plateau rather than a steep correction. With a median home price of $838,597 and a recent YoY change of -0.4%, the market is losing steam after a strong run, but fundamentals remain relatively stable. The price-to-rent ratio at 30.7x is significantly above the national average of 18x, signaling that buying remains expensive relative to renting, which will cap demand. However, days on market are still lean at 28 days, and the market temperature sits at a moderate 67/100, indicating that while the frenzy has cooled, properties are still moving.
Looking ahead to the Long Beach housing market forecast through 2028, affordability will be the central constraint. The local economy, heavily tied to the Port of Los Angeles and regional logistics, faces headwinds from broader trade uncertainty, which could temper wage growth and housing demand. Yet, Long Beachโs coastal desirability and ongoing urban infill projects provide a floor under prices. While the 5-year price change of 26.3% and a CAGR of 4.7% show solid appreciation, the current stagnation suggests a period of consolidation. For Long Beach real estate Long Beach 2027, expect flat to modest single-digit growth as the market digests recent gains and affordability challenges persist.
Renters have the upper hand for now, with a median rent of $2,006/mo making the "rent" verdict logical given the high price-to-rent ratio. While a B+ risk grade suggests the market isnโt in distress, buyers should be cautious of overpaying in a climate where inventory could gradually rise if economic softening continues. The 5-year price range of $664,045 to $845,987 provides a historical context for potential downside, though a crash seems unlikely. Ultimately, Long Beach is transitioning from a sellerโs market to a more balanced one, where patience and negotiation power will be key for buyers over the next three years.
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* Estimates based on 0.0% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.
Last updated: March 2026