Longview
Investment Analysis

Longview, TX
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
57
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.5%
Gross Yield
4.1%
P/R Ratio
17.0x
YoY Growth
+1.6%
Median Home Price
$270,950
Average Rent (1BR)
$930/mo
Median Income
$57,211
Population
84,418

Investment Breakdown

49
Value Score
66
Growth Score
55
Safety Score
62
Afford Score

Longview has a price-to-rent ratio of 17.0x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.5% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +1.6% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $930
Annual Gross $11,160

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$339
Insurance (~0.5%) -$113
Maintenance (~1%) -$226
Est. Net Cash Flow $253/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Longview Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$223K2027$242Kโ–ฒ 8.5%2028$253Kโ–ฒ 13.2%20232024Now
$265K$199K
Current
$271K
2026
Projected
$242K
โ†‘ 8.5% by 2027
Projected
$253K
โ†‘ 13.2% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.7%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.85
โ–ผ

When evaluating the Longview housing market forecast for the 2026-2028 period, the data suggests a period of stabilization rather than dramatic shifts. The current median home price of $223,008 and a price-to-rent ratio of 18.3x indicate that buying remains a viable alternative to renting, keeping demand steady. However, with a modest YoY price change of just 1.0% and a market temperature score of 56/100, the explosive growth seen in the prior five yearsโ€”which delivered a 32.0% total gainโ€”is likely to temper. The extended days on market (62 days) signal that buyers have regained some negotiating power, moving the market away from the frenzied pace of recent years.

For those asking will Longview home prices drop, the local economic fundamentals suggest a floor under values. Longviewโ€™s position as a hub for the energy and manufacturing sectors, combined with a strong affordability profile (median rent $930/mo), supports a stable owner-occupier base. While national economic headwinds could create volatility, the area's lower risk grade of A- and steady five-year CAGR of 5.6% point to resilience. The outlook for Longview real estate Longview 2027 hinges on job growth and inventory levels; if new construction fails to keep pace with household formation, prices may see modest appreciation rather than a correction.

Ultimately, the forecast for 2026-2028 leans neutral. The "Buy/Rent Verdict" currently sits at NEUTRAL, reflecting a market where neither buyers nor sellers have a distinct advantage. Investors should view Longview as a steady cash-flow market rather than a speculative appreciation play, given the low rent-to-price ratio. While a price decline is possible in the short term due to broader economic factors, the underlying demand from the local economy and the lack of extreme overvaluation (relative to the national average) suggest that any downturn would likely be shallow and short-lived.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.8%
5yr CAGR
+5.7%

Job Market

Unemployment 4.0%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +3.2%

Healthcare

70
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 98.3%
Months Supply 6.0
Price Drops 21%
Gone in 2 Wks 15%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Longview.

Total ROI
-84%
on $54,190 invested
Annual ROI
-30.4%
compounded
Total Return
-$45,361
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,207
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y161kY267kY374kY482kY589k
Appreciation
$22,092
Cash Flow
-$67,453
Final Equity
$88,985

* Estimates based on 1.6% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Longview

Property

Purchase Price$270,950
Monthly Rent$930
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,108
Monthly Cash Flow
-$13,300/ year
-24.5%
Cash-on-Cash
1.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$930
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,370
โˆ’ Property Tax$271
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$226
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$47
= Net Cash Flow-$1,108

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$54,190
Loan Amount
$216,760
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,038
Gross Yield
4.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026