Sioux City
Investment Analysis

Sioux City, IA
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

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63
Investment Score
Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
2.6%
Gross Yield
4.3%
P/R Ratio
15.6x
YoY Growth
+2.4%
Median Home Price
$218,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$780/mo
Median Income
$62,350
Population
85,172

Investment Breakdown

53
Value Score
74
Growth Score
70
Safety Score
62
Afford Score

Sioux City has a price-to-rent ratio of 15.6x, which indicates buying is moderately favorable.

The estimated cap rate of 2.6% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.4% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $780
Annual Gross $9,360

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$273
Insurance (~0.5%) -$91
Maintenance (~1%) -$182
Est. Net Cash Flow $235/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sioux City Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$189K2027$203Kโ–ฒ 7.0%2028$211Kโ–ฒ 11.5%20232024Now
$222K$161K
Current
$218K
2026
Projected
$203K
โ†‘ 7.0% by 2027
Projected
$211K
โ†‘ 11.5% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.3%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.96
โ–ผ

Our Sioux City housing market forecast for 2026-2028 suggests a period of moderate, stable appreciation, anchored by the region's strong agricultural and logistics base. With a current median home price of $189,346 and a healthy 5-year price change of 30.4%, the market has demonstrated resilience without overheating. The price-to-rent ratio of 17.6x remains just below the national average, indicating that buying is still a relatively accessible path compared to renting, which supports continued demand from first-time buyers and workforce migrants. While the market temperature of 64/100 signals a balanced environment rather than a frenzied one, the low Days on Market of 35 confirms that well-priced properties will still move quickly, driven by Sioux City's affordability advantage over larger Midwestern metros.

Addressing the key question of will Sioux City home prices drop, our analysis points toward stabilization rather than a significant downturn. The area's A risk grade and steady YoY price change of 1.6% suggest a market grounded in local economic fundamentals rather than speculative excess. Growth in the regional healthcare and transportation sectors should provide a steady stream of housing demand, supporting prices in the $145,228 โ€“ $189,346 range. However, broader economic headwinds like interest rate fluctuations could temper the 5.4% CAGR seen over the past five years. As we look toward Sioux City real estate Sioux City 2027, the outlook is for modest gains that reflect the city's role as a practical, affordable hub in the heartland.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.9%
5yr CAGR
+5.3%

Job Market

Unemployment 2.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.9%

Healthcare

76
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 96.7%
Months Supply 2.8
Price Drops 27%
Gone in 2 Wks 38%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Sioux City.

Total ROI
-57%
on $43,600 invested
Annual ROI
-15.4%
compounded
Total Return
-$24,726
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$941
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y151kY258kY365kY473kY581k
Appreciation
$27,566
Cash Flow
-$52,292
Final Equity
$81,386

* Estimates based on 2.4% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Sioux City

Property

Purchase Price$218,000
Monthly Rent$780
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$886
Monthly Cash Flow
-$10,632/ year
-24.4%
Cash-on-Cash
1.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$780
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,102
โˆ’ Property Tax$218
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$182
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$39
= Net Cash Flow-$886

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$43,600
Loan Amount
$174,400
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,666
Gross Yield
4.3%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026