Lorain
Investment Analysis

Lorain, OH
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
66
Investment Score
Strong Buy
Cap Rate (Est.)
4.0%
Gross Yield
6.6%
P/R Ratio
11.0x
YoY Growth
+2.1%
Median Home Price
$165,000
Average Rent (1BR)
$913/mo
Median Income
$41,480
Population
65,330

Investment Breakdown

67
Value Score
71
Growth Score
69
Safety Score
56
Afford Score

Lorain has a price-to-rent ratio of 11.0x, which indicates buying is significantly better than renting.

The estimated cap rate of 4.0% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +2.1% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $913
Annual Gross $10,956

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$206
Insurance (~0.5%) -$69
Maintenance (~1%) -$138
Est. Net Cash Flow $501/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Lorain Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$146K2027$157Kโ–ฒ 8.0%2028$166Kโ–ฒ 13.8%20232024Now
$174K$119K
Current
$165K
2026
Projected
$157K
โ†‘ 8.0% by 2027
Projected
$166K
โ†‘ 13.8% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+7.2%
Confidence:High
Rยฒ:0.96
โ–ผ

For those evaluating the Lorain housing market forecast through 2028, the data suggests a period of steady, sustainable growth rather than the explosive gains seen in the recent past. While the impressive 5-year price change of 44.7% and a 7.5% CAGR have captured attention, the current YoY price change has moderated to 1.8%. This cooling is a natural response to market forces, but it's unlikely to trigger a correction. A key question for potential buyers is, will Lorain home prices drop? Given the marketโ€™s temperature score of 69/100 and a low risk grade of A, a significant downturn seems improbable. The underlying affordability remains a powerful draw; with a median home price of just $145,659 and a price-to-rent ratio of 12.0x, the math strongly favors buying over renting, which should continue to underpin demand.

Looking toward Lorain real estate Lorain 2027, the market's trajectory will be heavily influenced by local economic factors and its inherent affordability. The rapid 5-year price appreciation has lifted the median price from a range of $100,693 โ€“ $145,659, yet it remains substantially below national averages, attracting both first-time homebuyers and investors seeking value. With a quick average of 21 days on market, buyer interest is clearly present. However, growth will be tempered by broader economic conditions, including interest rates and wage growth within the local manufacturing and healthcare sectors. The "Buy" verdict is well-supported, but the market is entering a more normalized phase. Expect appreciation to continue at a measured pace, aligning more closely with historical norms rather than the recent surge, making it a stable, long-term market rather than a short-term speculative play.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
4.3%
5yr CAGR
+7.2%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.8%

Healthcare

74
Score
Good

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.1%
Months Supply 3.0
Price Drops 27%
Gone in 2 Wks 29%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Average

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Lorain.

Total ROI
-4%
on $33,000 invested
Annual ROI
-0.9%
compounded
Total Return
-$1,398
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$406
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y138kY243kY348kY453kY559k
Appreciation
$18,068
Cash Flow
-$19,466
Final Equity
$58,804

* Estimates based on 2.1% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Lorain

Property

Purchase Price$165,000
Monthly Rent$913
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$394
Monthly Cash Flow
-$4,734/ year
-14.3%
Cash-on-Cash
3.2%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$913
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$834
โˆ’ Property Tax$165
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$138
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$46
= Net Cash Flow-$394

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$33,000
Loan Amount
$132,000
Total Monthly Expenses
$1,307
Gross Yield
6.6%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026