Southaven
Investment Analysis

Southaven, MS
Investor Report

Comprehensive real estate investment analysis with cap rates, rental yields, and risk assessment.

Share:
52
Investment Score
Hold
Cap Rate (Est.)
1.9%
Gross Yield
3.1%
P/R Ratio
22.9x
YoY Growth
+1.1%
Median Home Price
$299,900
Average Rent (1BR)
$785/mo
Median Income
$76,159
Population
55,531

Investment Breakdown

31
Value Score
61
Growth Score
71
Safety Score
58
Afford Score

Southaven has a price-to-rent ratio of 22.9x, which indicates renting and buying are roughly equal.

The estimated cap rate of 1.9% is below average, typical of appreciation-focused markets.

Year-over-year price growth of +1.1% indicates stable market conditions.

Rental Cash Flow Analysis

Monthly Income

Gross Rent $785
Annual Gross $9,420

Est. Monthly Expenses

Property Tax (~1.5%) -$375
Insurance (~0.5%) -$125
Maintenance (~1%) -$250
Est. Net Cash Flow $35/mo

Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

๐Ÿ”ฎ Southaven Price Forecast 2026โ€“2028

Based on 5-year Zillow ZHVI trend analysis ยท Statistical projection
๐Ÿ“ˆ Upward Trend
PROJECTEDNOW$270K2027$289Kโ–ฒ 7.3%2028$299Kโ–ฒ 10.9%20232024Now
$314K$248K
Current
$300K
2026
Projected
$289K
โ†‘ 7.3% by 2027
Projected
$299K
โ†‘ 10.9% by 2028
5yr CAGR:+5.5%
Confidence:Moderate
Rยฒ:0.65
โ–ผ

For those evaluating the Southaven housing market forecast through 2028, the landscape appears stable yet constrained by affordability. With a current median home price of $269,807 and a price-to-rent ratio of 25.5x, the market significantly favors renting over buying, a dynamic reinforced by the "RENT" verdict. While the 5-year price change of 32.2% indicates substantial historical growth, the recent YoY price change has cooled to just 1.0%, signaling a shift toward normalization. The market temperature of 65/100 and a low Days on Market of 33 days suggest properties still move quickly, but the extreme ratio compared to the national average of 18x raises questions about future appreciation velocity.

When considering will Southaven home prices drop, the Risk Grade of A acts as a stabilizing factor, suggesting deep economic resilience despite stretched valuations. Southavenโ€™s proximity to Memphis continues to drive demand, yet local affordability limits may cap significant upside in the near term. The 5-year CAGR of 5.7% provides a realistic baseline for future growth, likely moderating from the highs of the previous cycle. For those looking at Southaven real estate Southaven 2027 and beyond, the forecast points toward a period of consolidation rather than correction. While renting remains the financially prudent choice in the short term given the high price-to-rent ratio, the area's low risk profile and steady employment base suggest prices will likely hold their value, posting modest gains rather than experiencing a sharp decline.

Projected Cap Rate (2027)
2.0%
5yr CAGR
+5.5%

Job Market

Unemployment 3.8%
National avg: 3.7%
Job Growth (YoY) +0.5%

Healthcare

58
Score
Below Avg

Risk Factors

Low Risk Profile

Market Activity

Source: Redfin ยท 2026-01-31
Sale-to-List 97.7%
Months Supply 3.3
Price Drops 20%
Gone in 2 Wks 32%

Market Position

Affordability Below Avg
Safety Very Safe

ROI Projector Estimate your total return

Adjust the sliders to model different investment scenarios for Southaven.

Total ROI
-122%
on $59,980 invested
Annual ROI
NaN%
compounded
Total Return
-$73,346
appreciation + cashflow
Mo. Cash Flow
-$1,568
year 1 estimate
Equity Growth Over 5 Years
Y166kY272kY378kY484kY591k
Appreciation
$16,548
Cash Flow
-$89,894
Final Equity
$90,588

* Estimates based on 1.1% annual appreciation, 3% rent growth, 5% vacancy. Does not include closing costs, tax benefits, or capital gains tax. For illustrative purposes only.

Rental Investment Calculator Estimate your monthly cashflow

Rental Income Estimator

Pre-filled for Southaven

Property

Purchase Price$299,900
Monthly Rent$785
Down Payment20%

Financing

Interest Rate6.5%

Expenses

Property Tax1.2%
Insurance (Annual)$1,500
Maintenance Reserve1%
Vacancy Rate5%
Property Management0%
HOA (Monthly)$0
-$1,446
Monthly Cash Flow
-$17,346/ year
-28.9%
Cash-on-Cash
0.3%
Cap Rate

Monthly Breakdown

+ Rental Income$785
โˆ’ Mortgage (P&I)$1,516
โˆ’ Property Tax$300
โˆ’ Insurance$125
โˆ’ Maintenance$250
โˆ’ Vacancy Loss$39
= Net Cash Flow-$1,446

Investment Summary

Down Payment
$59,980
Loan Amount
$239,920
Total Monthly Expenses
$2,231
Gross Yield
3.1%

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with qualified professionals. Data sources include Zillow, Census Bureau, and BLS. Cap rates and yields are estimates based on available data.

Last updated: March 2026